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<channel>
	<title>my zombie plan</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda</link>
	<description>you have a zombie plan, right?</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sat, 21 Apr 2012 06:28:26 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
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		<item>
		<title>charts updated to 2012c</title>
		<link>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/04/charts-updated-2012c/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/04/charts-updated-2012c/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Apr 2012 06:28:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[IBL cards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[announcements]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/?p=386</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Minor edit to the wild play charts in order to clarify which injuries do not require injury rolls, and thus will not result in the player being considered day-to-day (DTD).</p> ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Minor edit to the wild play charts in order to clarify which injuries do not require injury rolls, and thus will not result in the player being considered day-to-day (DTD).</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/04/charts-updated-2012c/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>charts updated to 2012b</title>
		<link>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/04/charts-updated/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/04/charts-updated/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Apr 2012 20:56:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/?p=378</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve uploaded revision 2012b of the charts. This corrects a problem with the alignment on the fence distance chart and also has been exported to PDF with different settings in order to improve the legibility of the text.</p> ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve uploaded revision 2012b of the charts.  This corrects a problem with the alignment on the fence distance chart and also has been exported to PDF with different settings in order to improve the legibility of the text.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/04/charts-updated/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>2012 card set released</title>
		<link>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/03/2012-card-set-released/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/03/2012-card-set-released/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Apr 2012 01:03:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/?p=370</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The 2012 IBL card set is now officially released and available for <a href="http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/iblgame/download/" title="download" target="_blank">download</a>.</p> <p>The most current revision of the charts is 2012c.</p> ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The 2012 IBL card set is now officially released and available for <a href="http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/iblgame/download/" title="download" target="_blank">download</a>.</p>
<p>The most current revision of the charts is 2012c.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/03/2012-card-set-released/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>new injury system</title>
		<link>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/03/injury-system/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/03/injury-system/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Mar 2012 21:34:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[IBL cards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[design]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/?p=338</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve followed up last year&#8217;s improvements to the <a title="wild play charts" href="http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2011/03/wild-play-charts/">wild play charts</a> by creating a new injury system which will go into effect this year.  I&#8217;m posting a brief explanation of the changes here, along with the text for the new injury chart.  Let me know if there&#8217;s anything that should be [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve followed up last year&#8217;s improvements to the <a title="wild play charts" href="http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2011/03/wild-play-charts/">wild play charts</a> by creating a new injury system which will go into effect this year.  I&#8217;m posting a brief explanation of the changes here, along with the text for the new injury chart.  Let me know if there&#8217;s anything that should be clarified in the new rules.<span id="more-338"></span></p>
<p>Instead of a single injury rating, players will now receive a durability rating (from 1 to 9) and the card will also list the number of days the player spent on the DL during the previous MLB season.  The durability rating is based on games played for position players and (relief appearances * 2 + games started * 4) for pitchers.  The cutoffs are 160gp/9, 148gp/8, 128gp/7, 110gp/6, 90gp/5, 70gp/4, 50gp/3, 30gp/2, and 1 for less than 30gp.</p>
<p>The lower the durability rating the higher the probability a player will be injured for longer stretches based on their actual DL time.  This is a significant improvement over the the old PtP system, which lumped the players into a small number of coarse ratings with the worst still having a good chance of avoiding an extended injury.  This system is more granular and should do a better job of distributing injury days to players who were out the longest.  Additionally, this system implements a &#8220;day-to-day&#8221; injury status which introduces a more realistic element of uncertainty as to when players can return.</p>
<p>Proposed wording for the new charts listed below:<code></code></p>
<p><code><br />
<strong>Durability</strong><br />
<strong>Rating  Roll 1  Roll 2  50% DL  100% DL</strong><br />
9       00-99   -       -       -<br />
8       00-69   70-79   80-89   90-99<br />
7       00-49   50-59   60-79   80-99<br />
6       00-29   30-39   40-69   70-99<br />
5       00-09   10-29   30-59   60-99<br />
4       -       00-19   20-49   50-99<br />
3       -       00-19   20-39   40-99<br />
2       -       00-19   20-29   30-99<br />
1       -       00-19   -       20-99<br />
</code></p>
<p><strong>Roll 1</strong>:    Roll 1 die&#8230;  if the result is less than the player&#8217;s durability rating he is OK.  If the result is greater than or equal to his durability rating the player must be removed from the game and is out (result &#8211; durability) additional days. After sitting out the required days the player is considered day-to-day (see DTD).</p>
<p><strong>Roll 2</strong>:    Roll 2 dice, add the results and resolve the same as &#8220;Roll 1&#8243;.</p>
<p><strong>50% DL</strong>: If the player has zero DL Days, roll 1 die and resolve the same as &#8220;Roll 1&#8243;.  If the player has DL Days he must be removed from the game and is out (50% DL Days, rounded up) additional days. After sitting out the required days the player is considered day-to-day (see DTD).</p>
<p><strong>100% DL</strong>:    Player must be removed from the game.  If the player has zero DL Days, roll 1 die as in &#8220;Roll 1&#8243; to determine if he misses any additional games.  If the player has DL Days he is out (total DL Days) additional days. After sitting out the required days the player is considered day-to-day (see DTD).</p>
<p><strong>DTD</strong>:    When a player is day-to-day (DTD), before playing in a game he must roll 1 die&#8230;  if the result is less than or equal to his durability rating then he is OK to play and no longer considered day-to-day.  Otherwise, the player is unable to play in the game and must roll again prior to his next game.  For each additional day a player has had to sit out while day-to-day subtract 1 from the result on subsequent DTD rolls.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/03/injury-system/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>contact form fixed</title>
		<link>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/02/contact-form-fixed/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/02/contact-form-fixed/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 26 Feb 2012 19:57:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[IBL cards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[site update]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/?p=332</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>While upgrading wordpress last night I realized that there was some kind of glitch with my <a title="contact" href="http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/iblgame/contact/">contact form</a>.  If you recently tried to send me something via that form it most likely never got delievered, but I believe I have things fixed now.</p> ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>While upgrading wordpress last night I realized that there was some kind of glitch with my <a title="contact" href="http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/iblgame/contact/">contact form</a>.  If you recently tried to send me something via that form it most likely never got delievered, but I believe I have things fixed now.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/02/contact-form-fixed/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>2012 card set news</title>
		<link>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/02/2012-card-set-news/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/02/2012-card-set-news/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 26 Feb 2012 18:55:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[IBL cards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[announcements]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/?p=328</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve been quite busy this winter and have neglected to post regular updates about the status of the card set, but the good news is that everything is on track for a release in the typical mid-to-late March time-frame.  Most of the important ratings have already been <a title="2012 card info" href="http://wiki.ibl.org/dokuwiki/doku.php/2012_card_info" target="_blank">posted on the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve been quite busy this winter and have neglected to post regular updates about the status of the card set, but the good news is that everything is on track for a release in the typical mid-to-late March time-frame.  Most of the important ratings have already been <a title="2012 card info" href="http://wiki.ibl.org/dokuwiki/doku.php/2012_card_info" target="_blank">posted on the IBL wiki</a>, so head over there if you&#8217;re curious.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2012/02/2012-card-set-news/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>chart update</title>
		<link>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2011/06/chart-update/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2011/06/chart-update/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Jun 2011 23:41:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[IBL cards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[announcements]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/?p=322</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve uploaded updated charts (revision 2011b). The only changes are to the wild play charts, correcting some typos and clarifying that the new random pitcher injury play (0-199) should only affect pitchers who haven&#8217;t already been removed due to injury.</p> ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve uploaded updated charts (revision 2011b). The only changes are to the wild play charts, correcting some typos and clarifying that the new random pitcher injury play (0-199) should only affect pitchers who haven&#8217;t already been removed due to injury.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2011/06/chart-update/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>4</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>cards released</title>
		<link>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2011/04/cards-released/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2011/04/cards-released/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Apr 2011 02:29:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[IBL cards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[announcements]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/?p=318</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Available on the <a title="download" href="http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/iblgame/download/" target="_blank">download page</a>. Any corrections from this point on will be issued as errata. Updated charts will be available shortly. PLAY BALL!</p> ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Available on the <a title="download" href="http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/iblgame/download/" target="_blank">download page</a>. Any corrections from this point on will be issued as errata.  Updated charts will be available shortly.  PLAY BALL!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2011/04/cards-released/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>cards nearly finished</title>
		<link>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2011/03/cards-nearly-finished/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2011/03/cards-nearly-finished/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Mar 2011 01:35:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[IBL cards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[announcements]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/?p=310</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The cards have been created and we are now in the proofing stage.  Stay tuned for the official release announcement.</p> ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The cards have been created and we are now in the proofing stage.  Stay tuned for the official release announcement.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2011/03/cards-nearly-finished/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>wild play charts</title>
		<link>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2011/03/wild-play-charts/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/2011/03/wild-play-charts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Mar 2011 01:32:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[IBL cards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[design]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ibl.org/~sweda/?p=302</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>This year I finally had some time to give the wild play charts a long-overdue overhaul.  This is a brief summary of the changes for those who are interested.</p> <p>After spending some time inputting the existing plays (along with estimated outcomes) into an Excel spreadsheet, I was able to confirm two longstanding suspicions I had [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This year I finally had some time to give the wild play charts a long-overdue overhaul.  This is a brief summary of the changes for those who are interested.</p>
<p><span id="more-302"></span>After spending some time inputting the existing plays (along with estimated outcomes) into an Excel spreadsheet, I was able to confirm two longstanding suspicions I had about the charts, namely:</p>
<p>1) wild plays benefited the offense significantly &#8212; according to my calculations they resulted in a .477/.505/.783 slash line</p>
<p>2) there weren&#8217;t enough injury rolls for pitchers &#8212; according to my calculations the batter/pitcher split on injury rolls was 75%/25%</p>
<p>In order to reduce the offensive output of the wild plays I changed most of the plays which resulted in hits into plays which did not have a pre-determined result (e.g. IFR/OFR roll).  After the changes, the wild plays have an estimated offensive output of .267/.332/.367.</p>
<p>Fixing the injury distribution was a bit more tricky, as it required adding a substantial number of new pitcher injury rolls.  The solution I chose was to turn the 000-199 range previously reserved for SPECIALs into a required injury roll for pitchers (except with runners on base and a pitcher with W-WP symbol, as those additional wild pitches are still needed for accuracy purposes).  As a result the SPECIAL wild play chart has been removed and some symbols have been phased out (e.g. HOME/ROAD).  Despite the loss of some &#8220;flavor&#8221;, I think that most people will be happier with the streamlined resolution, given the confusion that frequently resulted when multiple SPECIALs were involved.  The batter/pitcher split on injury rolls is now effectively 50/50.</p>
<p>If there are specific plays you&#8217;d like to see added to the wild play charts, feel free to leave a comment.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>5</slash:comments>
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